Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Omonia Aradippou the pick at 46% for Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Apoel Nicosia travel to Omonia Aradippou on 1 November 2026 at Aradippou Stadium, Aradippou. Omonia Aradippou are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 8 fixture in 1. Division is listed as Omonia Aradippou - Apoel Nicosia. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Omonia Aradippou: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -4.
Apoel Nicosia: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.4 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Omonia Aradippou | Apoel Nicosia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLD | WWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 9 | 13 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.7 | 53.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Omonia Aradippou 30.7 versus Apoel Nicosia 53.4, a gap of 22.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Omonia Aradippou's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Omonia Aradippou at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Apoel Nicosia's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Omonia Aradippou's way, especially at Aradippou Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Omonia Aradippou or Apoel Nicosia?
Omonia Aradippou, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Omonia Aradippou, 25% the draw and 28% Apoel Nicosia.
When and where is Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia being played?
1 November 2026 at Aradippou Stadium, Aradippou, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Omonia Aradippou and Apoel Nicosia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Omonia Aradippou and Apoel Nicosia?
Omonia Aradippou have taken 4 points from their last five (WLLLD), Apoel Nicosia 11 from theirs (WWDWD). Most recently Omonia Aradippou took a 6-3 win at home to Digenis Morphou and Apoel Nicosia a 5-2 win at home to Halkanoras.
How many goals are expected in Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Omonia Aradippou and 1.35 for Apoel Nicosia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.