AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes AEL the pick at 53% for AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
AEL host Krasava Ypsonas on 7 November 2026 at Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi. AEL are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 9 fixture in 1. Division is listed as AEL - Krasava Ypsonas. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
AEL: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.5 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of -2.
Krasava Ypsonas: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those four they scored six and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.4 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -9.
Comparison data
| Statistic | AEL | Krasava Ypsonas |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWW | DDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 54.5 | 39.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 24% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: AEL 54.5 versus Krasava Ypsonas 39.4, a gap of 15.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans AEL's way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to AEL at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Krasava Ypsonas' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts AEL's way, especially at Alphamega Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: AEL or Krasava Ypsonas?
AEL, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% AEL, 22% the draw and 24% Krasava Ypsonas.
When and where is AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas being played?
7 November 2026 at Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have AEL and Krasava Ypsonas met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of AEL and Krasava Ypsonas?
AEL have taken 9 points from their last five (LLWWW), Krasava Ypsonas 5 from theirs (DDWL). Most recently AEL took a 0-2 defeat away at Omonia Nicosia and Krasava Ypsonas a 2-2 draw at home to AEK Larnaca.
How many goals are expected in AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.00 for AEL and 2.00 for Krasava Ypsonas. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.