Apoel Nicosia vs Aris: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Apoel Nicosia the pick at 46% for Apoel Nicosia vs Aris. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Apoel Nicosia face Aris on 8 November 2026 at GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Apoel Nicosia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 9 fixture in 1. Division is listed as Apoel Nicosia - Aris. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Apoel Nicosia: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.7 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +8.
Aris: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Apoel Nicosia | Aris |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 4th |
| Goal difference | +8 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWDW | WWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 5 | 12 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 63.7 | 62.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Apoel Nicosia 63.7 versus Aris 62.2, a gap of 1.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Apoel Nicosia's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Apoel Nicosia at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Apoel Nicosia's way, especially at GSP Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Apoel Nicosia or Aris?
Apoel Nicosia, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Apoel Nicosia, 30% the draw and 23% Aris.
When and where is Apoel Nicosia vs Aris being played?
8 November 2026 at GSP Stadium, Nicosia, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Apoel Nicosia and Aris met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Apoel Nicosia and Aris?
Apoel Nicosia have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWDW), Aris 13 from theirs (WWDWW). Most recently Apoel Nicosia took a 2-1 win away at Omonia Aradippou and Aris a 2-1 win at home to Anorthosis.
How many goals are expected in Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.00 for Apoel Nicosia and 1.00 for Aris. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.