Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol match summary and prediction — 1. Division
Our model makes Olympiakos the pick at 61% for Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Olympiakos host Apollon Limassol on 7 November 2026 at GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Olympiakos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This matchday 9 fixture in 1. Division is listed as Olympiakos - Apollon Limassol. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Olympiakos: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.5 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -2.
Apollon Limassol: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored 14 and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Olympiakos | Apollon Limassol |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -2 | +11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLD | DWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 14 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.5 | 64.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 61% | 21% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Olympiakos 34.5 versus Apollon Limassol 64.4, a gap of 29.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.67, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Olympiakos' way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Olympiakos at 61%, a gap of 40 percentage points to the next outcome. Apollon Limassol's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Olympiakos's way, especially at GSP Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Olympiakos or Apollon Limassol?
Olympiakos, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 61% Olympiakos, 19% the draw and 21% Apollon Limassol.
When and where is Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol being played?
7 November 2026 at GSP Stadium, Nicosia, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Olympiakos and Apollon Limassol met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Olympiakos and Apollon Limassol?
Olympiakos have taken 3 points from their last five (LDDLD), Apollon Limassol 10 from theirs (DWWWL). Most recently Olympiakos took a 0-1 defeat away at Karmiotissa and Apollon Limassol a 2-2 draw at home to Pafos.
How many goals are expected in Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.67 — 0.00 for Olympiakos and 1.67 for Apollon Limassol. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.