Tottenham Hotspur W vs Arsenal W: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Arsenal W the pick at 45% for Tottenham Hotspur W vs Arsenal W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Arsenal W travel to Tottenham Hotspur W on 24 October 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. Arsenal W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 7 fixture in FA WSL is listed as Tottenham Hotspur W - Arsenal W. Kick-off is 11:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Tottenham Hotspur W: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded twelve, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +4.
Arsenal W: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.5 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Tottenham Hotspur W | Arsenal W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 8th |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWD | DLDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 12 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.3 | 34.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 45% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Tottenham Hotspur W 49.3 versus Arsenal W 34.5, a gap of 14.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Tottenham Hotspur W's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Arsenal W at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Tottenham Hotspur W or Arsenal W?
Arsenal W, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 38% Tottenham Hotspur W, 17% the draw and 45% Arsenal W.
When and where is Tottenham Hotspur W vs Arsenal W being played?
24 October 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, kick-off 11:45 UTC.
Have Tottenham Hotspur W and Arsenal W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Tottenham Hotspur W and Arsenal W?
Tottenham Hotspur W have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWWD), Arsenal W 5 from theirs (DLDLW). Most recently Tottenham Hotspur W took a 2-6 defeat away at Chelsea W and Arsenal W a 1-1 draw at home to Birmingham City W.
How many goals are expected in Tottenham Hotspur W vs Arsenal W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for Tottenham Hotspur W and 1.40 for Arsenal W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.