Everton W vs Manchester United W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Manchester United W the pick at 42% for Everton W vs Manchester United W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Everton W host Manchester United W on 31 October 2026 at Rossett Park, Crosby. Manchester United W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 8 fixture in FA WSL is listed as Everton W - Manchester United W. Kick-off is 12:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Everton W: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.5 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -2.
Manchester United W: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Everton W | Manchester United W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | WDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 13 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.5 | 61.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 42% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Everton W 44.5 versus Manchester United W 61.2, a gap of 16.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.30, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Manchester United W's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Manchester United W at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Everton W or Manchester United W?
Manchester United W, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 32% Everton W, 26% the draw and 42% Manchester United W.
When and where is Everton W vs Manchester United W being played?
31 October 2026 at Rossett Park, Crosby, kick-off 12:45 UTC.
Have Everton W and Manchester United W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Everton W and Manchester United W?
Everton W have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), Manchester United W 13 from theirs (WDWWW). Most recently Everton W took a 2-1 win away at Sheffield United W and Manchester United W a 3-0 win at home to Burnley W.
How many goals are expected in Everton W vs Manchester United W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.30 — 1.50 for Everton W and 1.80 for Manchester United W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.