Brighton W vs Crystal Palace W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Brighton W the pick at 64% for Brighton W vs Crystal Palace W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Crystal Palace W travel to Brighton W on 1 November 2026 at American Express Stadium, Falmer. Brighton W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 64%. This matchday 8 fixture in FA WSL is listed as Brighton W - Crystal Palace W. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Brighton W: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored 16 and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +3.
Crystal Palace W: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.4 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Brighton W | Crystal Palace W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWL | LLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 16 / 5 | 6 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.1 | 29.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 64% | 15% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Brighton W 49.1 versus Crystal Palace W 29.4, a gap of 19.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Brighton W's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Brighton W at 64%, a gap of 43 percentage points to the next outcome. Brighton W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Brighton W's way, especially at American Express Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Brighton W or Crystal Palace W?
Brighton W, with an implied win probability of roughly 64%. The full split is 64% Brighton W, 21% the draw and 15% Crystal Palace W.
When and where is Brighton W vs Crystal Palace W being played?
1 November 2026 at American Express Stadium, Falmer, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Brighton W and Crystal Palace W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Brighton W and Crystal Palace W?
Brighton W have taken 9 points from their last five (WWLWL), Crystal Palace W 1 from theirs (LLLLD). Most recently Brighton W took a 6-0 win away at Wolverhampton W and Crystal Palace W a 2-4 defeat away at London City Lionesses W.
How many goals are expected in Brighton W vs Crystal Palace W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 2.50 for Brighton W and 0.50 for Crystal Palace W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.