Liverpool W vs Arsenal W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Arsenal W the pick at 48% for Liverpool W vs Arsenal W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Liverpool W host Arsenal W on 7 November 2026 at St Helens Stadium, St Helens. Arsenal W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 9 fixture in FA WSL is listed as Liverpool W - Arsenal W. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Liverpool W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -1.
Arsenal W: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored nine and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.4 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Liverpool W | Arsenal W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLL | DWWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 14 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.1 | 41.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 48% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Liverpool W 38.1 versus Arsenal W 41.4, a gap of 3.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.93, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Arsenal W's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Arsenal W at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Arsenal W's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Liverpool W or Arsenal W?
Arsenal W, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 32% Liverpool W, 19% the draw and 48% Arsenal W.
When and where is Liverpool W vs Arsenal W being played?
7 November 2026 at St Helens Stadium, St Helens, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Liverpool W and Arsenal W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Liverpool W and Arsenal W?
Liverpool W have taken 1 points from their last five (LDLLL), Arsenal W 8 from theirs (DWWDL). Most recently Liverpool W took a 1-4 defeat away at West Ham W and Arsenal W a 1-1 draw at home to Aston Villa W.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool W vs Arsenal W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.93 — 1.33 for Liverpool W and 1.60 for Arsenal W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.