London City Lionesses W vs Birmingham City W match summary and prediction — FA WSL
Our model makes London City Lionesses W the pick at 64% for London City Lionesses W vs Birmingham City W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
London City Lionesses W host Birmingham City W on 7 November 2026 at Copperjax Community Stadium, London. London City Lionesses W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 64%. This matchday 9 fixture in FA WSL is listed as London City Lionesses W - Birmingham City W. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
London City Lionesses W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +10.
Birmingham City W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.9 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | London City Lionesses W | Birmingham City W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 12th |
| Goal difference | +10 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWW | LDWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 8 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.8 | 39.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 64% | 17% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: London City Lionesses W 60.8 versus Birmingham City W 39.9, a gap of 20.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.67, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans London City Lionesses W's way at 69%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards London City Lionesses W at 64%, a gap of 44 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts London City Lionesses W's way, especially at Copperjax Community Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: London City Lionesses W or Birmingham City W?
London City Lionesses W, with an implied win probability of roughly 64%. The full split is 64% London City Lionesses W, 20% the draw and 17% Birmingham City W.
When and where is London City Lionesses W vs Birmingham City W being played?
7 November 2026 at Copperjax Community Stadium, London, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have London City Lionesses W and Birmingham City W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of London City Lionesses W and Birmingham City W?
London City Lionesses W have taken 10 points from their last five (LWDWW), Birmingham City W 8 from theirs (LDWWD). Most recently London City Lionesses W took a 1-2 defeat at home to Manchester City W and Birmingham City W a 1-4 defeat at home to Tottenham Hotspur W.
How many goals are expected in London City Lionesses W vs Birmingham City W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.67 — 1.67 for London City Lionesses W and 1.00 for Birmingham City W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.