Aston Villa W vs Manchester United W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Manchester United W the pick at 45% for Aston Villa W vs Manchester United W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Manchester United W travel to Aston Villa W on 7 November 2026 at Bescot Stadium, Walsall. Manchester United W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 9 fixture in FA WSL is listed as Aston Villa W - Manchester United W. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Aston Villa W: they come in on two successive draws, following three wins before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.4 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -5.
Manchester United W: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Aston Villa W | Manchester United W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWW | DWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.4 | 61.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 45% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Aston Villa W 50.4 versus Manchester United W 61.2, a gap of 10.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Manchester United W's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Manchester United W at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Aston Villa W or Manchester United W?
Manchester United W, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 30% Aston Villa W, 25% the draw and 45% Manchester United W.
When and where is Aston Villa W vs Manchester United W being played?
7 November 2026 at Bescot Stadium, Walsall, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Have Aston Villa W and Manchester United W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Aston Villa W and Manchester United W?
Aston Villa W have taken 11 points from their last five (DDWWW), Manchester United W 11 from theirs (DWDWW). Most recently Aston Villa W took a 1-1 draw away at Arsenal W and Manchester United W a 0-0 draw away at Everton W.
How many goals are expected in Aston Villa W vs Manchester United W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for Aston Villa W and 1.40 for Manchester United W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.