Chelsea W vs Manchester City W: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Chelsea W the pick at 67% for Chelsea W vs Manchester City W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Chelsea W face Manchester City W on 14 November 2026 at Stamford Bridge, London. Chelsea W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 67%. This matchday 10 fixture in FA WSL is listed as Chelsea W - Manchester City W. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Chelsea W: they come in on the back of a draw, following four wins before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 18 and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 74.1 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +23.
Manchester City W: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.6 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +17.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Chelsea W | Manchester City W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 1st |
| Goal difference | +23 | +17 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWW | WWDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 18 / 4 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 74.1 | 72.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 67% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Chelsea W 74.1 versus Manchester City W 72.6, a gap of 1.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 6.00, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Chelsea W's way at 68%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Chelsea W at 67%, a gap of 51 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Chelsea W's way, especially at Stamford Bridge.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Chelsea W or Manchester City W?
Chelsea W, with an implied win probability of roughly 67%. The full split is 67% Chelsea W, 16% the draw and 17% Manchester City W.
When and where is Chelsea W vs Manchester City W being played?
14 November 2026 at Stamford Bridge, London, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Chelsea W and Manchester City W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Chelsea W and Manchester City W?
Chelsea W have taken 13 points from their last five (DWWWW), Manchester City W 11 from theirs (WWDDW). Most recently Chelsea W took a 1-1 draw at home to Everton W and Manchester City W a 5-0 win at home to West Ham W.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?
The model's combined scoring line is 6.00 — 3.60 for Chelsea W and 2.40 for Manchester City W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.