Arsenal W vs London City Lionesses W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Arsenal W the pick at 66% for Arsenal W vs London City Lionesses W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Arsenal W face London City Lionesses W on 14 November 2026 at Emirates Stadium, London. Arsenal W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 66%. This matchday 10 fixture in FA WSL is listed as Arsenal W - London City Lionesses W. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Arsenal W: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored nine and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.7 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of 0.
London City Lionesses W: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.6 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +13.
Side by side
| Statistic | Arsenal W | London City Lionesses W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | 0 | +13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWD | WLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 4 | 13 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.7 | 61.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 66% | 17% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Arsenal W 51.7 versus London City Lionesses W 61.6, a gap of 9.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.05, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Arsenal W's way at 69%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Arsenal W at 66%, a gap of 48 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Arsenal W's way, especially at Emirates Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Arsenal W or London City Lionesses W?
Arsenal W, with an implied win probability of roughly 66%. The full split is 66% Arsenal W, 17% the draw and 17% London City Lionesses W.
When and where is Arsenal W vs London City Lionesses W being played?
14 November 2026 at Emirates Stadium, London, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Arsenal W and London City Lionesses W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Arsenal W and London City Lionesses W?
Arsenal W have taken 11 points from their last five (WDWWD), London City Lionesses W 10 from theirs (WLWDW). Most recently Arsenal W took a 2-1 win away at Liverpool W and London City Lionesses W a 4-1 win at home to Birmingham City W.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal W vs London City Lionesses W?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.05 — 1.80 for Arsenal W and 2.25 for London City Lionesses W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.