AL Masry vs Al Ittihad: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 48% for AL Masry vs Al Ittihad. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Al Ittihad travel to AL Masry on 15 September 2026 at Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 48%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 5 fixture in Premier League is listed as AL Masry - Al Ittihad. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
AL Masry: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 20 conceded in 19 matches, 1.05 and 1.05 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.0 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of 0.
Al Ittihad: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 19 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | AL Masry | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 7th |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWW | WWLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 19 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.05 / 1.05 | 1.11 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.37 | 1.42 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.0 | 48.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 23% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: AL Masry 45.0 versus Al Ittihad 48.6, a gap of 3.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.47, over 2.5 goals at 8% and both teams to score at 28%.
- First goal: Leans AL Masry's way at 60%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Al Ittihad's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: AL Masry or Al Ittihad?
Neither side. Our model splits it 29% AL Masry, 48% the draw and 23% Al Ittihad, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is AL Masry vs Al Ittihad being played?
15 September 2026 at Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have AL Masry and Al Ittihad met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of AL Masry and Al Ittihad?
AL Masry have taken 9 points from their last five (LLWWW), Al Ittihad 8 from theirs (WWLDD). Most recently AL Masry took a 1-2 defeat away at Petrojet and Al Ittihad a 1-0 win at home to Asyut Petrol.
How many goals are expected in AL Masry vs Al Ittihad?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.47 — 0.67 for AL Masry and 0.80 for Al Ittihad. It rates over 2.5 goals at 8%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 28%, so its call is no.