Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla match summary and prediction — Premier League
Our model makes Ghazl El Mehalla the pick at 42% for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Abu Qair Semad host Ghazl El Mehalla on 31 October 2026. Ghazl El Mehalla are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 8 fixture in Premier League is listed as Abu Qair Semad - Ghazl El Mehalla. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Abu Qair Semad: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored three and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.3 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -8.
Ghazl El Mehalla: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Abu Qair Semad | Ghazl El Mehalla |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDLL | WLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 8 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.3 | 36.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 27% | 42% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Abu Qair Semad 26.3 versus Ghazl El Mehalla 36.3, a gap of 10.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.20, over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams to score at 39%.
- First goal: Leans Ghazl El Mehalla's way at 46%.
The call
The model edges towards Ghazl El Mehalla at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Abu Qair Semad or Ghazl El Mehalla?
Ghazl El Mehalla, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 27% Abu Qair Semad, 31% the draw and 42% Ghazl El Mehalla.
When and where is Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla being played?
31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Abu Qair Semad and Ghazl El Mehalla met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Abu Qair Semad and Ghazl El Mehalla?
Abu Qair Semad have taken 2 points from their last five (DLDLL), Ghazl El Mehalla 4 from theirs (WLDLL). Most recently Abu Qair Semad took a 1-1 draw away at AL Masry and Ghazl El Mehalla a 2-1 win at home to Al Ittihad.
How many goals are expected in Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.20 — 0.00 for Abu Qair Semad and 1.20 for Ghazl El Mehalla. It rates over 2.5 goals at 32%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 39%, so its call is no.