Fiorentina vs Pisa — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Fiorentina the pick at 50% for Fiorentina vs Pisa. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Fiorentina face Pisa on 15 September 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. Fiorentina are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This round of 32 fixture in Coppa Italia is listed as Fiorentina - Pisa. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Fiorentina: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and three defeats from the last four, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (43 scored and 44 conceded in 32 matches, 1.34 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Pisa: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 51 conceded in 25 matches, 0.68 and 2.04 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Fiorentina | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLW | WWLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 10 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 32 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.34 / 1.38 | 0.68 / 2.04 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.38 | 0.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 12% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 1) | 1 | 0 |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Fiorentina 25.0 versus Pisa 25.0, a gap of 0.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 0.80, over 2.5 goals at 22% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Fiorentina's way at 66%.
The call
The model tilts to Fiorentina at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Pisa's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Fiorentina's way, especially at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fiorentina or Pisa?
Fiorentina, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Fiorentina, 38% the draw and 12% Pisa.
When and where is Fiorentina vs Pisa being played?
15 September 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Fiorentina and Pisa?
Fiorentina 1-0 Pisa on 23 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Fiorentina and Pisa?
Fiorentina have taken 3 points from their last four (LLLW), Pisa 10 from theirs (WWLDW). Most recently Fiorentina took a 1-2 defeat at home to Torino and Pisa a 3-0 win away at Juve Stabia.
How many goals are expected in Fiorentina vs Pisa?
The model's combined scoring line is 0.80 — 0.40 for Fiorentina and 0.40 for Pisa. It rates over 2.5 goals at 22%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.