Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the pick at 62% for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Buriram United travel to Johor Darul Takzim FC on 15 September 2026 at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, Johor Bahru. Johor Darul Takzim FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This league phase 1 fixture in AFC Champions League Elite is listed as Johor Darul Takzim FC - Buriram United. Kick-off is 12:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Johor Darul Takzim FC: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 25 and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.0 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of 0.
Buriram United: they come in on the back of a draw, following four wins before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored ten and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.0 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Johor Darul Takzim FC | Buriram United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 8th |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | DWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 25 / 1 | 10 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 62% | 8% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Johor Darul Takzim FC 25.0 versus Buriram United 25.0, a gap of 0.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Johor Darul Takzim FC's way at 69%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Johor Darul Takzim FC at 62%, a gap of 31 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Johor Darul Takzim FC's way, especially at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Johor Darul Takzim FC or Buriram United?
Johor Darul Takzim FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 62% Johor Darul Takzim FC, 31% the draw and 8% Buriram United.
When and where is Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United being played?
15 September 2026 at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, Johor Bahru, kick-off 12:15 UTC.
Have Johor Darul Takzim FC and Buriram United met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Johor Darul Takzim FC and Buriram United?
Johor Darul Takzim FC have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Buriram United 13 from theirs (DWWWW). Most recently Johor Darul Takzim FC took a 1-0 win at home to Negeri Sembilan and Buriram United a 1-1 draw at home to Chiangrai United.
How many goals are expected in Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Buriram United?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.67 for Johor Darul Takzim FC and 1.33 for Buriram United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.