Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah match summary and prediction — AFC Champions League Elite
Our model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the pick at 46% for Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Al-Ahli Jeddah travel to Al Sadd on 2 November 2026 at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha. Al-Ahli Jeddah are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This league phase 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Elite is listed as Al Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Al Sadd: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 3.5 and 1.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.1 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -5.
Al-Ahli Jeddah: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 15 conceded in seven matches, 2.43 and 2.14 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Al Sadd | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -5 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWLL | LWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 7 | 13 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 3.5 / 1.5 | 2.43 / 2.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.17 | 1.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.1 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 46% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Al Sadd 27.1 versus Al-Ahli Jeddah 49.1, a gap of 22.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.80, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Ahli Jeddah's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Al-Ahli Jeddah at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al Sadd or Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 33% Al Sadd, 21% the draw and 46% Al-Ahli Jeddah.
When and where is Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah being played?
2 November 2026 at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Al Sadd and Al-Ahli Jeddah met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Al Sadd and Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al Sadd have taken 7 points from their last five (WDWLL), Al-Ahli Jeddah 12 from theirs (LWWWW). Most recently Al Sadd took a 4-1 win at home to Al Shamal and Al-Ahli Jeddah a 1-6 defeat away at Al Shabab.
How many goals are expected in Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.80 — 3.40 for Al Sadd and 2.40 for Al-Ahli Jeddah. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.