Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes SHANGHAI SIPG the pick at 41% for Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Newcastle Jets face SHANGHAI SIPG on 3 November 2026 at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle. SHANGHAI SIPG are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This league phase 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Elite is listed as Newcastle Jets - SHANGHAI SIPG. Kick-off is 07:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Newcastle Jets: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded 18, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.2 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -11.
SHANGHAI SIPG: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.6 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Newcastle Jets | SHANGHAI SIPG |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -11 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLL | LWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 18 | 13 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 22.2 | 38.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 41% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Newcastle Jets 22.2 versus SHANGHAI SIPG 38.6, a gap of 16.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Newcastle Jets' way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards SHANGHAI SIPG at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. SHANGHAI SIPG's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Newcastle Jets or SHANGHAI SIPG?
SHANGHAI SIPG, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 36% Newcastle Jets, 23% the draw and 41% SHANGHAI SIPG.
When and where is Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG being played?
3 November 2026 at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle, kick-off 07:45 UTC.
Have Newcastle Jets and SHANGHAI SIPG met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Newcastle Jets and SHANGHAI SIPG?
Newcastle Jets have taken 2 points from their last five (LDDLL), SHANGHAI SIPG 10 from theirs (LWWDW). Most recently Newcastle Jets took a 2-5 defeat away at Kyoto Sanga and SHANGHAI SIPG a 2-3 defeat at home to Công An Nhân Dân.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 1.40 for Newcastle Jets and 2.80 for SHANGHAI SIPG. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.