Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen match summary and prediction — AFC Champions League Elite
Our model makes Kashiwa Reysol the pick at 41% for Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Kashiwa Reysol face Daejeon Citizen on 3 November 2026 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa City. Kashiwa Reysol are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This league phase 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Elite is listed as Kashiwa Reysol - Daejeon Citizen. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Kashiwa Reysol: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 25 conceded in 20 matches, 1.3 and 1.25 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.1 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Daejeon Citizen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 8 conceded in eight matches, 2.0 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Kashiwa Reysol | Daejeon Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 9th |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDLW | LWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.3 / 1.25 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.15 | 2.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.1 | 38.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 35% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Kashiwa Reysol's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Kashiwa Reysol at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Kashiwa Reysol's way, especially at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kashiwa Reysol or Daejeon Citizen?
Kashiwa Reysol, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Kashiwa Reysol, 24% the draw and 35% Daejeon Citizen.
When and where is Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen being played?
3 November 2026 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa City, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Kashiwa Reysol and Daejeon Citizen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kashiwa Reysol and Daejeon Citizen?
Kashiwa Reysol have taken 8 points from their last five (DWDLW), Daejeon Citizen 10 from theirs (LWWDW). Most recently Kashiwa Reysol took a 0-0 draw away at Ratchaburi and Daejeon Citizen a 0-1 defeat at home to Vissel Kobe.
How many goals are expected in Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.60 for Daejeon Citizen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.