Công An Nhân Dân vs Kyoto Sanga: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Công An Nhân Dân the pick at 43% for Công An Nhân Dân vs Kyoto Sanga. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Kyoto Sanga travel to Công An Nhân Dân on 3 November 2026 at Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi. Công An Nhân Dân are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This league phase 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Elite is listed as Công An Nhân Dân - Kyoto Sanga. Kick-off is 12:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Công An Nhân Dân: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Kyoto Sanga: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored ten and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Công An Nhân Dân | Kyoto Sanga |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLW | WDDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 10 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.2 | 45.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Công An Nhân Dân 44.2 versus Kyoto Sanga 45.8, a gap of 1.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Công An Nhân Dân's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Công An Nhân Dân at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Công An Nhân Dân's way, especially at Hang Day Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Công An Nhân Dân or Kyoto Sanga?
Công An Nhân Dân, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Công An Nhân Dân, 25% the draw and 32% Kyoto Sanga.
When and where is Công An Nhân Dân vs Kyoto Sanga being played?
3 November 2026 at Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi, kick-off 12:15 UTC.
Have Công An Nhân Dân and Kyoto Sanga met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Công An Nhân Dân and Kyoto Sanga?
Công An Nhân Dân have taken 7 points from their last five (WDLLW), Kyoto Sanga 8 from theirs (WDDLW). Most recently Công An Nhân Dân took a 3-2 win away at SHANGHAI SIPG and Kyoto Sanga a 5-2 win at home to Newcastle Jets.
How many goals are expected in Công An Nhân Dân vs Kyoto Sanga?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.00 for Công An Nhân Dân and 1.80 for Kyoto Sanga. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.