Port FC vs Beijing Guoan: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Beijing Guoan the pick at 44% for Port FC vs Beijing Guoan. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Port FC host Beijing Guoan on 3 November 2026 at True BG Stadium, Patum Thani. Beijing Guoan are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This league phase 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Elite is listed as Port FC - Beijing Guoan. Kick-off is 12:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Port FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.0 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -8.
Beijing Guoan: they come in on the back of a draw, following four wins before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Port FC | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -8 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWL | DWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 10 | 11 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.0 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 44% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Port FC 23.0 versus Beijing Guoan 49.1, a gap of 26.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Beijing Guoan's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards Beijing Guoan at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Port FC or Beijing Guoan?
Beijing Guoan, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 33% Port FC, 23% the draw and 44% Beijing Guoan.
When and where is Port FC vs Beijing Guoan being played?
3 November 2026 at True BG Stadium, Patum Thani, kick-off 12:15 UTC.
Have Port FC and Beijing Guoan met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Port FC and Beijing Guoan?
Port FC have taken 9 points from their last five (LWWWL), Beijing Guoan 13 from theirs (DWWWW). Most recently Port FC took a 0-3 defeat away at Johor Darul Takzim FC and Beijing Guoan a 2-2 draw at home to Jeonbuk Motors.
How many goals are expected in Port FC vs Beijing Guoan?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.00 for Port FC and 2.00 for Beijing Guoan. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.