Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the pick at 78% for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Al-Hilal Saudi FC face Shabab Al Ahli Dubai on 3 November 2026 at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh. Al-Hilal Saudi FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 78%. This league phase 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Elite is listed as Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. Kick-off is 18:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Al-Hilal Saudi FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (87 scored and 30 conceded in 36 matches, 2.42 and 0.83 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +1.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: they come in on a four-match winning sequence. That is four wins, no draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.83 and 1.83 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | WWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 7 | 9 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 36 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.42 / 0.83 | 1.83 / 1.83 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.39 | 1.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.2 | 56.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 78% | 8% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 45.2 versus Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 56.0, a gap of 10.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Hilal Saudi FC's way at 78%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 78%, a gap of 63 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Al-Hilal Saudi FC's way, especially at Kingdom Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Al-Hilal Saudi FC or Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 78%. The full split is 78% Al-Hilal Saudi FC, 14% the draw and 8% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
When and where is Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai being played?
3 November 2026 at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0-0 Al-Hilal Saudi FC on 09 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 12 from theirs (WWWW). Most recently Al-Hilal Saudi FC took a 1-3 defeat away at Al Shamal and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai a 2-0 win at home to Esteghlal FC.
How many goals are expected in Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.40 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC and 1.40 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.