Buriram United vs Kashima: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Kashima the pick at 50% for Buriram United vs Kashima. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Buriram United face Kashima on 4 November 2026 at Chang Arena, Buriram. Kashima are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This league phase 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Elite is listed as Buriram United - Kashima. Kick-off is 12:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Buriram United: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.4 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -1.
Kashima: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Buriram United | Kashima |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -1 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWL | WLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 5 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.4 | 57.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 26% | 50% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Buriram United 31.4 versus Kashima 57.5, a gap of 26.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Kashima's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Kashima at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Buriram United or Kashima?
Kashima, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 26% Buriram United, 24% the draw and 50% Kashima.
When and where is Buriram United vs Kashima being played?
4 November 2026 at Chang Arena, Buriram, kick-off 12:15 UTC.
Have Buriram United and Kashima met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Buriram United and Kashima?
Buriram United have taken 7 points from their last five (DLWWL), Kashima 10 from theirs (WLDWW). Most recently Buriram United took a 1-1 draw away at Gamba Osaka and Kashima a 3-0 win at home to Pohang Steelers.
How many goals are expected in Buriram United vs Kashima?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 1.40 for Buriram United and 3.00 for Kashima. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.