Muharraq vs Al-Jazira: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Muharraq and Al-Jazira on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Muharraq face Al-Jazira on 4 November 2026 at Bahrain National Stadium, Riffa. Al-Jazira are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This group stage 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Two is listed as Muharraq - Al-Jazira. Kick-off is 18:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Muharraq: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded six, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of -1.
Al-Jazira: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Muharraq | Al-Jazira |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 1st |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWD | WWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 6 | 9 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.8 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 40% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Muharraq 34.8 versus Al-Jazira 49.1, a gap of 14.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Al-Jazira's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Al-Jazira is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Muharraq or Al-Jazira?
Al-Jazira, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 39% Muharraq, 21% the draw and 40% Al-Jazira.
When and where is Muharraq vs Al-Jazira being played?
4 November 2026 at Bahrain National Stadium, Riffa, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Muharraq and Al-Jazira?
Al-Jazira 4-2 Muharraq on 28 October 2026.
What is the recent form of Muharraq and Al-Jazira?
Muharraq have taken 10 points from their last five (LWWWD), Al-Jazira 11 from theirs (WWDWD). Most recently Muharraq took a 2-4 defeat away at Al-Jazira and Al-Jazira a 4-2 win at home to Muharraq.
How many goals are expected in Muharraq vs Al-Jazira?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.00 for Muharraq and 2.20 for Al-Jazira. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.