Home United vs Adelaide United — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Home United and Adelaide United on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Home United face Adelaide United on 5 November 2026 at Jalan Besar Stadium, Singapore. Home United are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This group stage 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Two is listed as Home United - Adelaide United. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Home United: they come in on a four-match winning sequence. That is four wins, no draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored eleven and conceded no, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +3.
Adelaide United: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Home United | Adelaide United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWW | LLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 0 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.1 | 45.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 35% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Home United 49.1 versus Adelaide United 45.5, a gap of 3.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Adelaide United's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Home United is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. Home United's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Home United's way, especially at Jalan Besar Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Home United or Adelaide United?
Home United, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 37% Home United, 27% the draw and 35% Adelaide United.
When and where is Home United vs Adelaide United being played?
5 November 2026 at Jalan Besar Stadium, Singapore, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Home United and Adelaide United?
Adelaide United 0-2 Home United on 29 October 2026.
What is the recent form of Home United and Adelaide United?
Home United have taken 12 points from their last four (WWWW), Adelaide United 6 from theirs (LLWWL). Most recently Home United took a 2-0 win away at Adelaide United and Adelaide United a 0-2 defeat at home to Home United.
How many goals are expected in Home United vs Adelaide United?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 2.00 for Home United and 0.80 for Adelaide United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.