BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes BG Pathum United the pick at 64% for BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
BG Pathum United face Wofoo Tai Po on 5 November 2026 at True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani. BG Pathum United are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 64%. This group stage 4 fixture in AFC Champions League Two is listed as BG Pathum United - Wofoo Tai Po. Kick-off is 12:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
BG Pathum United: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +2.
Wofoo Tai Po: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -7.
Side by side
| Statistic | BG Pathum United | Wofoo Tai Po |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 4th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLDL | LWWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 4 | 9 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.8 | 23.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 64% | 15% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: BG Pathum United 38.8 versus Wofoo Tai Po 23.2, a gap of 15.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans BG Pathum United's way at 57%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards BG Pathum United at 64%, a gap of 42 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts BG Pathum United's way, especially at True BG Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: BG Pathum United or Wofoo Tai Po?
BG Pathum United, with an implied win probability of roughly 64%. The full split is 64% BG Pathum United, 22% the draw and 15% Wofoo Tai Po.
When and where is BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po being played?
5 November 2026 at True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani, kick-off 12:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between BG Pathum United and Wofoo Tai Po?
Wofoo Tai Po 0-3 BG Pathum United on 29 October 2026.
What is the recent form of BG Pathum United and Wofoo Tai Po?
BG Pathum United have taken 7 points from their last five (WWLDL), Wofoo Tai Po 7 from theirs (LWWLD). Most recently BG Pathum United took a 3-0 win away at Wofoo Tai Po and Wofoo Tai Po a 0-3 defeat at home to BG Pathum United.
How many goals are expected in BG Pathum United vs Wofoo Tai Po?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 2.00 for BG Pathum United and 0.00 for Wofoo Tai Po. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.