2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta match summary and prediction — Division Profesional - Clausura
Our model makes 2 de Mayo the pick at 53% for 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
2 de Mayo face Deportivo Recoleta on 24 October 2026 at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti, Pedro Juan Caballero. 2 de Mayo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This clausura 16 fixture in Division Profesional - Clausura is listed as 2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta. Kick-off is 22:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
2 de Mayo: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 37 conceded in 30 matches, 0.93 and 1.23 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +1.
Deportivo Recoleta: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 46 conceded in 33 matches, 1.24 and 1.39 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -12.
Side by side
| Statistic | 2 de Mayo | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 11th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDL | WLLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 9 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 30 | 33 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.93 / 1.23 | 1.24 / 1.39 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.3 | 1.21 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 35.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 22% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): 2 de Mayo none wins, Deportivo Recoleta two wins, none draws — an edge to Deportivo Recoleta.
- Most recent meeting: Deportivo Recoleta 4-0 2 de Mayo on 18 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: 2 de Mayo 48.6 versus Deportivo Recoleta 35.3, a gap of 13.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans 2 de Mayo's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to 2 de Mayo at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts 2 de Mayo's way, especially at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: 2 de Mayo or Deportivo Recoleta?
2 de Mayo, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% 2 de Mayo, 25% the draw and 22% Deportivo Recoleta.
When and where is 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta being played?
24 October 2026 at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti, Pedro Juan Caballero, kick-off 22:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between 2 de Mayo and Deportivo Recoleta?
Deportivo Recoleta 4-0 2 de Mayo on 18 April 2026.
What is the recent form of 2 de Mayo and Deportivo Recoleta?
2 de Mayo have taken 7 points from their last five (LWWDL), Deportivo Recoleta 7 from theirs (WLLDW). Most recently 2 de Mayo took a 0-3 defeat away at Olimpia and Deportivo Recoleta a 1-0 win at home to Rubio NU.
How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for 2 de Mayo and 1.20 for Deportivo Recoleta. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.