Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Cerro Porteno the pick at 43% for Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Cerro Porteno host Olimpia on 1 November 2026 at Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción. Cerro Porteno are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This clausura 17 fixture in Division Profesional - Clausura is listed as Cerro Porteno - Olimpia. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cerro Porteno: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 26 conceded in 32 matches, 1.19 and 0.81 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +6.
Olimpia: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (56 scored and 29 conceded in 36 matches, 1.56 and 0.81 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.7 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +16.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cerro Porteno | Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +6 | +16 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDWL | WWDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 7 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 32 | 36 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.19 / 0.81 | 1.56 / 0.81 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.56 | 2.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.8 | 65.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 32% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Cerro Porteno none wins, Olimpia one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Olimpia 0-0 Cerro Porteno on 19 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 0.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Cerro Porteno 49.8 versus Olimpia 65.7, a gap of 15.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Cerro Porteno's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Cerro Porteno at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Cerro Porteno's way, especially at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cerro Porteno or Olimpia?
Cerro Porteno, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Cerro Porteno, 25% the draw and 32% Olimpia.
When and where is Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia being played?
1 November 2026 at Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cerro Porteno and Olimpia?
Olimpia 0-0 Cerro Porteno on 19 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Cerro Porteno and Olimpia?
Cerro Porteno have taken 8 points from their last five (WDDWL), Olimpia 9 from theirs (WWDDD). Most recently Cerro Porteno took a 3-1 win away at Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Olimpia a 3-2 win away at Sportivo Ameliano.
How many goals are expected in Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.00 for Cerro Porteno and 1.80 for Olimpia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.