Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Club Guarani the pick at 46% for Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Club Guarani host 2 de Mayo on 30 October 2026 at Estadio Rogelio Livieres. Club Guarani are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This clausura 17 fixture in Division Profesional - Clausura is listed as Club Guarani - 2 de Mayo. Kick-off is 22:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Club Guarani: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 27 conceded in 28 matches, 1.14 and 0.96 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +4.
2 de Mayo: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 38 conceded in 31 matches, 0.94 and 1.23 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.9 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Club Guarani | 2 de Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDDW | DLWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 28 | 31 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.14 / 0.96 | 0.94 / 1.23 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.36 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.7 | 51.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 26% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Club Guarani none wins, 2 de Mayo none wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: 2 de Mayo 2-2 Club Guarani on 26 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Club Guarani's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Club Guarani at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Club Guarani's way, especially at Estadio Rogelio Livieres.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Club Guarani or 2 de Mayo?
Club Guarani, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Club Guarani, 28% the draw and 26% 2 de Mayo.
When and where is Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo being played?
30 October 2026 at Estadio Rogelio Livieres, kick-off 22:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Club Guarani and 2 de Mayo?
2 de Mayo 2-2 Club Guarani on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Club Guarani and 2 de Mayo?
Club Guarani have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDDW), 2 de Mayo 8 from theirs (DLWWD). Most recently Club Guarani took a 2-0 win away at Rubio NU and 2 de Mayo a 1-1 draw at home to Deportivo Recoleta.
How many goals are expected in Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Club Guarani and 1.20 for 2 de Mayo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.