Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano match summary and prediction — Division Profesional - Clausura
There is barely anything between Deportivo Recoleta and Sportivo Ameliano on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Deportivo Recoleta face Sportivo Ameliano on 31 October 2026 at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana, Asuncion. Sportivo Ameliano are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This clausura 17 fixture in Division Profesional - Clausura is listed as Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Deportivo Recoleta: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (42 scored and 47 conceded in 34 matches, 1.24 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -12.
Sportivo Ameliano: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 28 conceded in 27 matches, 1.04 and 1.04 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.2 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Deportivo Recoleta | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWLL | LDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 4 | 6 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 34 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.24 / 1.38 | 1.04 / 1.04 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.21 | 1.37 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.7 | 31.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 37% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Deportivo Recoleta none wins, Sportivo Ameliano two wins, none draws — an edge to Sportivo Ameliano.
- Most recent meeting: Sportivo Ameliano 3-2 Deportivo Recoleta on 11 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Deportivo Recoleta 38.7 versus Sportivo Ameliano 31.2, a gap of 7.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo Recoleta's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Sportivo Ameliano is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. Deportivo Recoleta's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Deportivo Recoleta or Sportivo Ameliano?
Sportivo Ameliano, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 36% Deportivo Recoleta, 27% the draw and 37% Sportivo Ameliano.
When and where is Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana, Asuncion, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Deportivo Recoleta and Sportivo Ameliano?
Sportivo Ameliano 3-2 Deportivo Recoleta on 11 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Deportivo Recoleta and Sportivo Ameliano?
Deportivo Recoleta have taken 7 points from their last five (WDWLL), Sportivo Ameliano 2 from theirs (LDLLD). Most recently Deportivo Recoleta took a 2-0 win away at Sportivo Luqueno and Sportivo Ameliano a 2-3 defeat at home to Olimpia.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.80 for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.40 for Sportivo Ameliano. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.