Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion match summary and prediction — Division Profesional - Clausura
Our model makes Nacional Asuncion the pick at 40% for Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Sportivo Luqueno face Nacional Asuncion on 31 October 2026 at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luke. Nacional Asuncion are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This clausura 17 fixture in Division Profesional - Clausura is listed as Sportivo Luqueno - Nacional Asuncion. Kick-off is 22:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sportivo Luqueno: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 48 conceded in 28 matches, 0.96 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -13.
Nacional Asuncion: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 25 conceded in 26 matches, 1.31 and 0.96 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +14.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sportivo Luqueno | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -13 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLL | LWWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 11 | 6 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 28 | 26 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.96 / 1.71 | 1.31 / 0.96 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.71 | 1.69 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.8 | 55.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 40% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Sportivo Luqueno none wins, Nacional Asuncion two wins, none draws — an edge to Nacional Asuncion.
- Most recent meeting: Nacional Asuncion 3-2 Sportivo Luqueno on 27 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Sportivo Luqueno 31.8 versus Nacional Asuncion 55.2, a gap of 23.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Nacional Asuncion's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Nacional Asuncion at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Nacional Asuncion's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sportivo Luqueno or Nacional Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 35% Sportivo Luqueno, 25% the draw and 40% Nacional Asuncion.
When and where is Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luke, kick-off 22:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sportivo Luqueno and Nacional Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion 3-2 Sportivo Luqueno on 27 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Sportivo Luqueno and Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueno have taken 3 points from their last five (LLWLL), Nacional Asuncion 8 from theirs (LWWDD). Most recently Sportivo Luqueno took a 0-2 defeat at home to Deportivo Recoleta and Nacional Asuncion a 0-1 defeat at home to Sportivo Trinidense.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.20 for Sportivo Luqueno and 0.80 for Nacional Asuncion. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.