FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo match summary and prediction — Premijer Liga
Our model makes FK Sarajevo the pick at 46% for FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo travel to FK Sarajevo on 24 October 2026. FK Sarajevo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 11 fixture in Premijer Liga is listed as FK Sarajevo - Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. Kick-off is 17:46 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FK Sarajevo: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored six and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +1.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored six and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 5th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWL | DLDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 2 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.9 | 44.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FK Sarajevo 41.9 versus Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 44.8, a gap of 2.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans FK Sarajevo's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to FK Sarajevo at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. FK Sarajevo's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FK Sarajevo or Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
FK Sarajevo, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% FK Sarajevo, 25% the draw and 29% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.
When and where is FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 17:46 UTC.
Have FK Sarajevo and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FK Sarajevo and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
FK Sarajevo have taken 8 points from their last five (DDWWL), Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 6 from theirs (DLDDW). Most recently FK Sarajevo took a 1-1 draw away at Radnik Bijeljina and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo a 1-1 draw away at BSK Banja Luka.
How many goals are expected in FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for FK Sarajevo and 1.35 for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.