Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik match summary and prediction — Premijer Liga
Our model makes Siroki Brijeg the pick at 46% for Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Siroki Brijeg face Čelik on 24 October 2026 at Stadion Pecara. Siroki Brijeg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 11 fixture in Premijer Liga is listed as Siroki Brijeg - Čelik. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Siroki Brijeg: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.7 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of 0.
Čelik: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored six and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.7 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Siroki Brijeg | Čelik |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 7th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLDL | LDDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 6 | 6 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.7 | 40.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 26% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Siroki Brijeg 41.7 versus Čelik 40.7, a gap of 1.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.35, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Siroki Brijeg's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Siroki Brijeg at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Siroki Brijeg's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Siroki Brijeg's way, especially at Stadion Pecara.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Siroki Brijeg or Čelik?
Siroki Brijeg, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Siroki Brijeg, 29% the draw and 26% Čelik.
When and where is Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadion Pecara, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Siroki Brijeg and Čelik met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Siroki Brijeg and Čelik?
Siroki Brijeg have taken 5 points from their last five (WDLDL), Čelik 5 from theirs (LDDWL). Most recently Siroki Brijeg took a 1-0 win away at Sloga Doboj and Čelik a 0-3 defeat at home to Zrinjski.
How many goals are expected in Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.35 — 1.35 for Siroki Brijeg and 0.00 for Čelik. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.