Sloga Doboj vs Velež match summary and prediction — Premijer Liga
Our model makes Sloga Doboj the pick at 46% for Sloga Doboj vs Velež. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sloga Doboj host Velež on 1 November 2026 at Stadion Luke. Sloga Doboj are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 12 fixture in Premijer Liga is listed as Sloga Doboj - Velež. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sloga Doboj: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded eleven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.5 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -10.
Velež: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and three defeats from the last four, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored three and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.1 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -9.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sloga Doboj | Velež |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -10 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLL | LLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 11 | 3 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 22.5 | 36.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 31% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sloga Doboj 22.5 versus Velež 36.1, a gap of 13.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Sloga Doboj's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Sloga Doboj at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sloga Doboj's way, especially at Stadion Luke.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sloga Doboj or Velež?
Sloga Doboj, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Sloga Doboj, 23% the draw and 31% Velež.
When and where is Sloga Doboj vs Velež being played?
1 November 2026 at Stadion Luke, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Sloga Doboj and Velež met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Sloga Doboj and Velež?
Sloga Doboj have taken 3 points from their last five (WLLLL), Velež 1 from theirs (LLDL). Most recently Sloga Doboj took a 4-0 win away at FK Romanija Pale and Velež a 1-2 defeat away at Zvijezda Gradačac.
How many goals are expected in Sloga Doboj vs Velež?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.00 for Sloga Doboj and 2.00 for Velež. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.