Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Siroki Brijeg the pick at 43% for Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Siroki Brijeg host Zeljeznicar Sarajevo on 7 November 2026 at Stadion Pecara. Siroki Brijeg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 13 fixture in Premijer Liga is listed as Siroki Brijeg - Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Siroki Brijeg: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored two and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -2.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored three and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.9 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Siroki Brijeg | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDWD | LWLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 3 | 3 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.2 | 29.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Siroki Brijeg 41.2 versus Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 29.9, a gap of 11.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: Over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Siroki Brijeg's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Siroki Brijeg at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Siroki Brijeg's way, especially at Stadion Pecara.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Siroki Brijeg or Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Siroki Brijeg, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Siroki Brijeg, 29% the draw and 28% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.
When and where is Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo being played?
7 November 2026 at Stadion Pecara, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Siroki Brijeg and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Siroki Brijeg and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Siroki Brijeg have taken 6 points from their last five (LDDWD), Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 4 from theirs (LWLDL). Most recently Siroki Brijeg took a 0-2 defeat away at Radnik Bijeljina and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo a 0-4 defeat at home to Zrinjski.
How many goals are expected in Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.