Bodo/Glimt vs Lille match summary and prediction — UEFA Champions League
Lille travel to Bodo/Glimt needing a result to steady a season that has drifted — 35th and still looking for rhythm. Form, comparison data and the model's read, below.
The fixture at a glance
Bodo/Glimt face Lille on 3 November 2026 at Aspmyra Stadion. Bodo/Glimt are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Champions League is listed as Bodo/Glimt - Lille. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Bodo/Glimt: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 35 conceded in 20 matches, 2.05 and 1.75 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.8 out of 100, and they sit 28th on a goal difference of -5.
Lille: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (56 scored and 47 conceded in 40 matches, 1.4 and 1.18 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.5 out of 100, and they sit 35th on a goal difference of -6. For a club of Lille's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Side by side
| Statistic | Bodo/Glimt | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 28th | 35th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLWW | WDLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 5 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 40 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.05 / 1.75 | 1.4 / 1.18 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 53.8 | 23.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 22% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Bodo/Glimt 53.8 versus Lille 23.5, a gap of 30.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Big club, bad season: Lille are 35th with a goal difference of -6 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Bodo/Glimt's way at 64%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Bodo/Glimt at 58%, a gap of 37 percentage points to the next outcome. Bodo/Glimt's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bodo/Glimt's way, especially at Aspmyra Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bodo/Glimt or Lille?
Bodo/Glimt, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% Bodo/Glimt, 20% the draw and 22% Lille.
When and where is Bodo/Glimt vs Lille being played?
3 November 2026 at Aspmyra Stadion, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Bodo/Glimt and Lille met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bodo/Glimt and Lille?
Bodo/Glimt have taken 9 points from their last five (WLLWW), Lille 5 from theirs (WDLDL). Most recently Bodo/Glimt took a 3-2 win at home to Viking and Lille a 1-0 win at home to Lens.
How many goals are expected in Bodo/Glimt vs Lille?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.60 for Bodo/Glimt and 1.40 for Lille. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.