Slavia Praha vs Arsenal — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Arsenal the pick at 44% for Slavia Praha vs Arsenal. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Arsenal travel to Slavia Praha on 4 November 2026 at Fortuna Arena, Prague. Arsenal are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Champions League is listed as Slavia Praha - Arsenal. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Slavia Praha: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 6 conceded in seven matches, 2.86 and 0.86 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.6 out of 100, and they sit 32nd on a goal difference of -3.
Arsenal: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 24 conceded in 22 matches, 1.23 and 1.09 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Slavia Praha | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 32nd | 7th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDDL | DWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 9 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.86 / 0.86 | 1.23 / 1.09 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.29 | 1.59 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.6 | 49.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 44% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Slavia Praha none wins, Arsenal two wins, none draws — an edge to Arsenal.
- Most recent meeting: Slavia Praha 0-3 Arsenal on 04 November 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Slavia Praha 27.6 versus Arsenal 49.3, a gap of 21.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 25 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Arsenal's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Arsenal at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Slavia Praha or Arsenal?
Arsenal, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 31% Slavia Praha, 25% the draw and 44% Arsenal.
When and where is Slavia Praha vs Arsenal being played?
4 November 2026 at Fortuna Arena, Prague, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Slavia Praha and Arsenal?
Slavia Praha 0-3 Arsenal on 04 November 2025.
What is the recent form of Slavia Praha and Arsenal?
Slavia Praha have taken 6 points from their last five (WDDDL), Arsenal 11 from theirs (DWDWW). Most recently Slavia Praha took a 4-0 win at home to Zbrojovka Brno and Arsenal a 1-1 draw away at Fleetwood Town.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 2.20 for Slavia Praha and 1.00 for Arsenal. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.