Sporting Cristal vs ADT match summary and prediction — Copa De La Liga
Our model makes Sporting Cristal the pick at 55% for Sporting Cristal vs ADT. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sporting Cristal host ADT on 1 October 2026 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima. Sporting Cristal are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This semi finals fixture in Copa De La Liga is listed as Sporting Cristal - ADT. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sporting Cristal: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (50 scored and 48 conceded in 34 matches, 1.47 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
ADT: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 26 conceded in 20 matches, 1.1 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sporting Cristal | ADT |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLW | WLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 4 | 5 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 34 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.47 / 1.41 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.26 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 8% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 6% and both teams to score at 24%.
- First goal: Leans Sporting Cristal's way at 75%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Sporting Cristal at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sporting Cristal's way, especially at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sporting Cristal or ADT?
Sporting Cristal, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Sporting Cristal, 37% the draw and 8% ADT.
When and where is Sporting Cristal vs ADT being played?
1 October 2026 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sporting Cristal and ADT?
Sporting Cristal 2-1 ADT on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sporting Cristal and ADT?
Sporting Cristal have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWLW), ADT 6 from theirs (WLLLW). Most recently Sporting Cristal took a 3-1 win at home to Atletico Grau and ADT a 2-1 win at home to Cienciano.
How many goals are expected in Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.60 for Sporting Cristal and 0.60 for ADT. It rates over 2.5 goals at 6%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 24%, so its call is no.