West Ham vs Fulham — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 46% for West Ham vs Fulham. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
West Ham host Fulham on 15 September 2026 at London Stadium, London. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 46%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This round of 32 fixture in League Cup is listed as West Ham - Fulham. Kick-off is 18:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
West Ham: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (49 scored and 62 conceded in 37 matches, 1.32 and 1.68 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Fulham: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 49 conceded in 35 matches, 1.17 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | West Ham | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWDW | LLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 6 | 8 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 37 | 35 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.32 / 1.68 | 1.17 / 1.4 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.11 | 1.2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 18% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 4 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): West Ham four wins, Fulham two wins, one draw — an edge to West Ham.
- Most recent meeting: Fulham 0-1 West Ham on 04 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.86 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in three of the seven — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: West Ham 25.0 versus Fulham 25.0, a gap of 0.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams to score at 43%.
- First goal: Leans West Ham's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards a draw at 46%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. West Ham's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: West Ham or Fulham?
Neither side. Our model splits it 36% West Ham, 46% the draw and 18% Fulham, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is West Ham vs Fulham being played?
15 September 2026 at London Stadium, London, kick-off 18:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between West Ham and Fulham?
Fulham 0-1 West Ham on 04 March 2026.
What is the recent form of West Ham and Fulham?
West Ham have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWDW), Fulham 6 from theirs (LLWLW). Most recently West Ham took a 3-2 win away at Bolton and Fulham a 2-3 defeat at home to Crystal Palace.
How many goals are expected in West Ham vs Fulham?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.60 for West Ham and 1.20 for Fulham. It rates over 2.5 goals at 30%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 43%, so its call is no.