AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction

AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC: match summary, form and prediction

AC Milan host Ferencvarosi TC with a season still short of where it should be — 24th in UEFA Europa League and searching for consistency. Form, comparison data, head-to-head and our model's read.

The fixture at a glance

Ferencvarosi TC travel to AC Milan on 5 November 2026. AC Milan are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as AC Milan - Ferencvarosi TC. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.

Form analysis and trajectory

AC Milan: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 13 conceded in seven matches, 1.86 and 1.86 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -1. For a club of AC Milan's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.

Ferencvarosi TC: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 10 conceded in nine matches, 2.56 and 1.11 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +6.

Side by side

Key match insights

• Pre-match form ratings: AC Milan 34.8 versus Ferencvarosi TC 56.5, a gap of 21.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
• Big club, bad season: AC Milan are 24th with a goal difference of -1 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
• Table gap: 20 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
• Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
• Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 61%.
• First goal: Leans Ferencvarosi TC's way at 49%.

The call

The model does not commit. AC Milan is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. Ferencvarosi TC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.

Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured to win the match: AC Milan or Ferencvarosi TC?

AC Milan, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% AC Milan, 21% the draw and 39% Ferencvarosi TC.

When and where is AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC being played?

5 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.

Have AC Milan and Ferencvarosi TC met before?

Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.

What is the recent form of AC Milan and Ferencvarosi TC?

AC Milan have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), Ferencvarosi TC 13 from theirs (WWWDW). Most recently AC Milan took a 3-1 win at home to Inter and Ferencvarosi TC a 4-1 win away at Bicskei.

How many goals are expected in AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 2.00 for AC Milan and 3.00 for Ferencvarosi TC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.

Will both teams score?

The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.