Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 51% for Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Beşiktaş face Crystal Palace on 22 October 2026 at Besiktas Park, Istanbul. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 51%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as Beşiktaş - Crystal Palace. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Beşiktaş: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 16 conceded in 14 matches, 1.5 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +4.
Crystal Palace: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (55 scored and 50 conceded in 44 matches, 1.25 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Beşiktaş | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 15th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWW | LWLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 7 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 14 | 44 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.5 / 1.14 | 1.25 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.0 | 35.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 21% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Beşiktaş 46.0 versus Crystal Palace 35.8, a gap of 10.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.10, over 2.5 goals at 13% and both teams to score at 44%.
- First goal: Leans Beşiktaş's way at 49%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Beşiktaş or Crystal Palace?
Neither side. Our model splits it 21% Beşiktaş, 51% the draw and 28% Crystal Palace, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace being played?
22 October 2026 at Besiktas Park, Istanbul, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace?
Beşiktaş have taken 12 points from their last five (WWLWW), Crystal Palace 7 from theirs (LWLDW). Most recently Beşiktaş took a 3-2 win away at 1899 Hoffenheim and Crystal Palace a 2-3 defeat away at Lyon.
How many goals are expected in Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.10 — 1.50 for Beşiktaş and 0.60 for Crystal Palace. It rates over 2.5 goals at 13%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 44%, so its call is no.