Celtic vs Beşiktaş — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Celtic host Beşiktaş with a season still short of where it should be — 35th in UEFA Europa League and searching for consistency. Form, comparison data, head-to-head and our model's read.
The fixture at a glance
Celtic face Beşiktaş on 5 November 2026 at Celtic Park, Glasgow. Celtic are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as Celtic - Beşiktaş. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Celtic: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (59 scored and 43 conceded in 32 matches, 1.84 and 1.34 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.5 out of 100, and they sit 35th on a goal difference of -6. For a club of Celtic's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Beşiktaş: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 16 conceded in 14 matches, 1.5 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Celtic | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 35th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -6 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWL | WDLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 10 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 32 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.84 / 1.34 | 1.5 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.94 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.5 | 49.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 21% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Celtic 23.5 versus Beşiktaş 49.3, a gap of 25.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Big club, bad season: Celtic are 35th with a goal difference of -6 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Table gap: 27 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Celtic's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Celtic at 60%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. Beşiktaş's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Celtic's way, especially at Celtic Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Celtic or Beşiktaş?
Celtic, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Celtic, 18% the draw and 21% Beşiktaş.
When and where is Celtic vs Beşiktaş being played?
5 November 2026 at Celtic Park, Glasgow, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Celtic and Beşiktaş met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Celtic and Beşiktaş?
Celtic have taken 7 points from their last five (DWLWL), Beşiktaş 10 from theirs (WDLWW). Most recently Celtic took a 2-2 draw at home to Dundee Utd and Beşiktaş a 2-0 win at home to Başakşehir.
How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.40 for Celtic and 1.80 for Beşiktaş. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.