Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim match summary and prediction — UEFA Europa League
Our model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the pick at 41% for Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Crystal Palace host 1899 Hoffenheim on 5 November 2026 at Selhurst Park, London. 1899 Hoffenheim are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as Crystal Palace - 1899 Hoffenheim. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Crystal Palace: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 16 conceded in eight matches, 1.38 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.1 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of +3.
1899 Hoffenheim: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 8 conceded in seven matches, 1.86 and 1.14 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.0 out of 100, and they sit 23rd on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Crystal Palace | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 23rd |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLDL | LDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 11 | 9 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.38 / 2.0 | 1.86 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.25 | 1.86 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.1 | 35.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 41% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Crystal Palace 39.1 versus 1899 Hoffenheim 35.0, a gap of 4.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans 1899 Hoffenheim's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards 1899 Hoffenheim at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. 1899 Hoffenheim's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Crystal Palace or 1899 Hoffenheim?
1899 Hoffenheim, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 31% Crystal Palace, 28% the draw and 41% 1899 Hoffenheim.
When and where is Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim being played?
5 November 2026 at Selhurst Park, London, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Have Crystal Palace and 1899 Hoffenheim met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and 1899 Hoffenheim?
Crystal Palace have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLDL), 1899 Hoffenheim 10 from theirs (LDWWW). Most recently Crystal Palace took a 0-2 defeat away at Tottenham and 1899 Hoffenheim a 0-2 defeat away at Werder Bremen.
How many goals are expected in Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.60 for Crystal Palace and 1.80 for 1899 Hoffenheim. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.