Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Ferencvarosi TC the pick at 64% for Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ferencvarosi TC host Torreense on 22 October 2026 at Groupama Arena, Budapest. Ferencvarosi TC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 64%. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as Ferencvarosi TC - Torreense. Kick-off is 16:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ferencvarosi TC: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (56 scored and 39 conceded in 31 matches, 1.81 and 1.26 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Torreense: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 17 conceded in 21 matches, 1.29 and 0.81 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.0 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ferencvarosi TC | Torreense |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 19th |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDWW | LLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 4 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 31 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.81 / 1.26 | 1.29 / 0.81 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.03 | 1.86 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.8 | 35.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 64% | 7% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Ferencvarosi TC 45.8 versus Torreense 35.0, a gap of 10.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 20% and both teams to score at 39%.
- First goal: Leans Ferencvarosi TC's way at 70%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Ferencvarosi TC at 64%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. Ferencvarosi TC's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Ferencvarosi TC's way, especially at Groupama Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ferencvarosi TC or Torreense?
Ferencvarosi TC, with an implied win probability of roughly 64%. The full split is 64% Ferencvarosi TC, 29% the draw and 7% Torreense.
When and where is Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense being played?
22 October 2026 at Groupama Arena, Budapest, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Have Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense?
Ferencvarosi TC have taken 11 points from their last five (WDDWW), Torreense 7 from theirs (LLWDW). Most recently Ferencvarosi TC took a 2-1 win at home to Plzen and Torreense a 1-2 defeat at home to Sunderland.
How many goals are expected in Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.60 for Ferencvarosi TC and 1.00 for Torreense. It rates over 2.5 goals at 20%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 39%, so its call is no.