Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI match summary and prediction — UEFA Europa League
Our model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the pick at 62% for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hapoel Beer Sheva face OFI on 5 November 2026 at Superbet Arena - Giulesti, Bucharest. Hapoel Beer Sheva are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as Hapoel Beer Sheva - OFI. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Hapoel Beer Sheva: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 17 conceded in 15 matches, 2.0 and 1.13 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.1 out of 100, and they sit 30th on a goal difference of -5.
OFI: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 23 conceded in 15 matches, 1.53 and 1.53 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 26th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hapoel Beer Sheva | OFI |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 30th | 26th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 9 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 15 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.0 / 1.13 | 1.53 / 1.53 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.07 | 1.53 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.1 | 34.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 62% | 16% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Hapoel Beer Sheva 27.1 versus OFI 34.8, a gap of 7.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Hapoel Beer Sheva's way at 64%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Hapoel Beer Sheva at 62%, a gap of 40 percentage points to the next outcome. Hapoel Beer Sheva's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hapoel Beer Sheva's way, especially at Superbet Arena - Giulesti.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hapoel Beer Sheva or OFI?
Hapoel Beer Sheva, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 62% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 22% the draw and 16% OFI.
When and where is Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI being played?
5 November 2026 at Superbet Arena - Giulesti, Bucharest, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Hapoel Beer Sheva and OFI met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hapoel Beer Sheva and OFI?
Hapoel Beer Sheva have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), OFI 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently Hapoel Beer Sheva took a 5-2 win away at Maccabi Haifa and OFI a 0-1 defeat away at Larisa.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 2.00 for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.60 for OFI. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.