Juventus vs Rennes — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Juventus the pick at 58% for Juventus vs Rennes. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Juventus face Rennes on 22 October 2026 at Allianz Stadium, Turin. Juventus are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as Juventus - Rennes. Kick-off is 16:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Juventus: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (71 scored and 48 conceded in 41 matches, 1.73 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +6.
Rennes: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (54 scored and 52 conceded in 32 matches, 1.69 and 1.62 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.6 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Juventus | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 13th |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWW | WWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 3 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 41 | 32 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.73 / 1.17 | 1.69 / 1.62 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.68 | 1.62 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.5 | 38.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 9% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Juventus 46.5 versus Rennes 38.6, a gap of 7.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 17% and both teams to score at 40%.
- First goal: Leans Juventus' way at 71%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Juventus at 58%, a gap of 24 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Juventus's way, especially at Allianz Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Juventus or Rennes?
Juventus, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% Juventus, 34% the draw and 9% Rennes.
When and where is Juventus vs Rennes being played?
22 October 2026 at Allianz Stadium, Turin, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Have Juventus and Rennes met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Juventus and Rennes?
Juventus have taken 10 points from their last five (WDLWW), Rennes 7 from theirs (WWLLD). Most recently Juventus took a 2-1 win away at Celta Vigo and Rennes a 2-1 win at home to OFI.
How many goals are expected in Juventus vs Rennes?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.40 for Juventus and 1.20 for Rennes. It rates over 2.5 goals at 17%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 40%, so its call is no.