NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes NEC Nijmegen the pick at 70% for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
NEC Nijmegen face Omonia Nicosia on 5 November 2026 at Goffertstadion, Nijmegen. NEC Nijmegen are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 70%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as NEC Nijmegen - Omonia Nicosia. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
NEC Nijmegen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.6 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -3.
Omonia Nicosia: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded eight, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | NEC Nijmegen | Omonia Nicosia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWDD | WLLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 8 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.6 | 45.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 70% | 13% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: NEC Nijmegen 37.6 versus Omonia Nicosia 45.2, a gap of 7.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans NEC Nijmegen's way at 72%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards NEC Nijmegen at 70%, a gap of 53 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts NEC Nijmegen's way, especially at Goffertstadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: NEC Nijmegen or Omonia Nicosia?
NEC Nijmegen, with an implied win probability of roughly 70%. The full split is 70% NEC Nijmegen, 17% the draw and 13% Omonia Nicosia.
When and where is NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia being played?
5 November 2026 at Goffertstadion, Nijmegen, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Have NEC Nijmegen and Omonia Nicosia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of NEC Nijmegen and Omonia Nicosia?
NEC Nijmegen have taken 6 points from their last five (LDWDD), Omonia Nicosia 7 from theirs (WLLDW). Most recently NEC Nijmegen took a 0-1 defeat away at Heerenveen and Omonia Nicosia a 2-0 win at home to AEL.
How many goals are expected in NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.60 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.00 for Omonia Nicosia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.