Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica match summary and prediction — UEFA Europa League
There is barely anything between Omonia Nicosia and Benfica on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Benfica travel to Omonia Nicosia on 22 October 2026 at GSP Stadium, Nicosia. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 45%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as Omonia Nicosia - Benfica. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Omonia Nicosia: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded one, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +4.
Benfica: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Omonia Nicosia | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWD | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 1 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.0 | 46.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 11% | 44% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 16% and both teams to score at 30%.
- First goal: Leans Benfica's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 45%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Omonia Nicosia or Benfica?
Neither side. Our model splits it 11% Omonia Nicosia, 45% the draw and 44% Benfica, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica being played?
22 October 2026 at GSP Stadium, Nicosia, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Omonia Nicosia and Benfica met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Omonia Nicosia and Benfica?
Omonia Nicosia have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWWD), Benfica 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently Omonia Nicosia took a 3-0 win away at Celje and Benfica a 4-1 win at home to Celtic.
How many goals are expected in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.60 for Omonia Nicosia and 1.00 for Benfica. It rates over 2.5 goals at 16%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 30%, so its call is no.