Plzen vs Levski Sofia: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 47% for Plzen vs Levski Sofia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Plzen host Levski Sofia on 22 October 2026 at Doosan Arena, Plzen. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 47%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This league stage 3 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as Plzen - Levski Sofia. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Plzen: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.0 out of 100, and they sit 31st on a goal difference of -4.
Levski Sofia: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 5 points. Across those four they scored three and conceded two, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.1 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Plzen | Levski Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 31st | 24th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | DWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 10 | 3 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.0 | 28.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 19% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Plzen 24.0 versus Levski Sofia 28.1, a gap of 4.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 23% and both teams to score at 36%.
- First goal: Leans Plzen's way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Levski Sofia's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Plzen or Levski Sofia?
Neither side. Our model splits it 34% Plzen, 47% the draw and 19% Levski Sofia, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Plzen vs Levski Sofia being played?
22 October 2026 at Doosan Arena, Plzen, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Plzen and Levski Sofia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Plzen and Levski Sofia?
Plzen have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), Levski Sofia 5 from theirs (DWLD). Most recently Plzen took a 1-2 defeat away at Ferencvarosi TC and Levski Sofia a 1-1 draw away at NEC Nijmegen.
How many goals are expected in Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Plzen and 1.00 for Levski Sofia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 23%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 36%, so its call is no.