Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Bournemouth the pick at 50% for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sparta Praha face Bournemouth on 5 November 2026 at epet ARENA, Prague. Bournemouth are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This league stage 4 fixture in UEFA Europa League is listed as Sparta Praha - Bournemouth. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sparta Praha: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 11 conceded in nine matches, 1.44 and 1.22 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of +2.
Bournemouth: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 4 conceded in eight matches, 2.62 and 0.5 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sparta Praha | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLDD | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 13 / 0 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 5 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.44 / 1.22 | 2.62 / 0.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.44 | 2.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.8 | 56.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 26% | 50% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sparta Praha 38.8 versus Bournemouth 56.8, a gap of 17.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Bournemouth's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Bournemouth at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sparta Praha or Bournemouth?
Bournemouth, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 26% Sparta Praha, 23% the draw and 50% Bournemouth.
When and where is Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth being played?
5 November 2026 at epet ARENA, Prague, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Have Sparta Praha and Bournemouth met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Sparta Praha and Bournemouth?
Sparta Praha have taken 5 points from their last five (LWLDD), Bournemouth 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Sparta Praha took a 0-2 defeat at home to Baník Ostrava and Bournemouth a 2-0 win at home to Leeds.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 1.60 for Sparta Praha and 2.60 for Bournemouth. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.